228: Stormwater

Plus, talking trees, Project Silica, and good news on girls' education, crime in the UK, renewables in Spain and ocean conservation in New Zealand

228: Stormwater
This is the premium edition of Future Crunch, a weekly roundup of good news, mind-blowing science, and the best bits of the internet. If someone forwarded this, you can subscribe here. One third of your subscription fee goes to charity. You can buy a gift subscription here.

Good news you probably didn't hear about


The next time you're on your phone looking at all the ways things are broken, remember this: worldwide, there are 50 million more girls in school today than there were in 2015. Completion rates for girls have increased from 86% to 89% in primary school, and from 54% to 61% in high school. There are five million more girls completing each level of education every year now compared to seven years ago. Bad news happens suddenly. Good news happens slowly. UNESCO

Between 2002 and 2022, the Global Fund saved over 59 million lives through its HIV, TB, and malaria programs. Last year the fund achieved record-breaking results: 24.5 million people received antiretroviral treatment for HIV, 6.7 million people were treated for TB, and 220 million mosquito nets were dispersed to at-risk communities.

Between 2018 and 2022, Mozambique exponentially increased its number of community health workers, from 1,000 in 2018 to 8,300 in 2022. Together, these community health workers now reach an estimated two million households countrywide, up from 240,000 households in 2018. World Bank

Between 2013 and 2021, cases of measles in Indonesia decreased by 95%, from 33.2 to 1.4 cases per million, and rubella incidence decreased by 89%, from 9.3 to 1.0 cases per million. Progress was set back in 2022 due to disruptions in immunisation services caused by the pandemic, but efforts are now back on track. WHO

Community health workers promoting measles-rubella vaccines in a classrom in Qomariyah, Indonesia, June 2022. Credit: Dyna Rochmyaningsih

California has approved a new law that makes it possible for residents to ask data brokers to delete their personal data or forbid them to sell or share it. Californians had similar rights under a 2018 state law, but they had to ask each company individually. Now they can make a single request. By August 2026, data brokers will have to check for and honour all requests every 45 days.

The proportion of people in Africa living in shanty towns has fallen from 71% of the urban population in 2003 to 60% today. This is primarily due to North African countries, where the proportion of slum dwellers has fallen from 20% to 13%. In sub-Saharan Africa, the proportion living in shanty towns has fallen by 5%. Afrik21

In 2015, the equivalent of 9% of global GDP was held in tax havens. Today, thanks to the automatic exchange of bank information, this is down to around 3%. There's still a long way to go on a global minimum corporate tax and taxation on billionaires, but this shows that progress can be made when there's the political will to do so. EU Tax Observatory

The UK's Office of National Statistics says that crime in England and Wales has fallen to its lowest level ever recorded, with incidents of violent crime falling by 28% for 2023, up until June. A separate survey, which polls members of the public, suggests theft has dropped by 20% and incidents of anti-social behaviour are down 15% compared to pre-pandemic levels. BBC

Source: Office for National Statistics

Over the last decade, Americans with disabilities have made major progress in finding work and gaining qualifications. The share of those who held full-time employment rose from 20.9% in 2010 to 26.9% in 2021, and the share who hold at least a bachelor’s degree grew from 12.2% to 17.9%. Both are the highest numbers on record. GZero

A rare bit of good news from South Africa. The proportion of people over the age of 20 years with no formal education fell from 19.1% in 1996 to 6.9% in 2022. During the same period, the proportion of people completing high school rose from 16.3% to 37.6%, and those completing tertiary education rose from 7.1% to 12.2%. SA News

Scientists say they've made the biggest breakthrough in treating cervical cancer in 20 years, using a course of cheap, existing drugs ahead of radiotherapy treatment. Trials show the new therapy cut the risk of women dying or the cancer returning by more than a third. Cancer Research UK has called the results 'remarkable.' BBC

Crash and fatality rates among drivers under 21 have fallen dramatically in the United States during the past 20 years. Between 2002 and 2021, fatal crashes involving a young driver fell by 38%, while deaths of young drivers dropped even more, by about 45%. AP

America used to mow its kids down.

Even more good news you didn't hear about


The World Bank is injecting over a billion dollars into African healthcare, focusing on mothers, children, and refugees. In 2009, Norway began offering all girls the HPV vaccine. That first cohort is now 25 years old, and none of them has had cervical cancer. The Lao People’s Democratic Republic has successfully eliminated lymphatic filariasis as a public health problem. In July this year, Maryland passed a law providing free health coverage to all pregnant people, regardless of immigration status, and thousands have already enrolled. New Orleans has experienced an astonishing decline in gun violence this year,. Denver experimented with giving people $1,000 a month, and it reduced homelessness and increased employment. In Chicago, 5,000 people received monthly cash payments of $500 from the city for a year and it made a big difference. Young people in California are committing way less crime than previous generations. Philadelphia will become a safe haven for trans people, and a federal court in Washington has ruled that transgender convicts must be given access to quality gender-affirming care.


If it bleeds, it leads


It looks like someone is paying attention after all. Thank you to LA Times senior editor David Lauter for restoring our faith in US journalism. Not sure which part is better, the headline or the list of most-read stories.


The only home we've ever known


Over two decades of conservation efforts in China have paid off, with 29,200 hectares of mangroves recorded last year, an increase of 7,200 hectares since 2000. This makes it one of the few countries in the world with a net increase in the size of its mangrove forests. China Daily

The population of critically-endangered North Atlantic right whales appears to have levelled off after a decade of steep decline, according to updated data released this morning by Canadian and American scientists. 'The slowing down of the decline is sort of the first good news that we've had in a long time.' CBC

Following the EU ban on its fishery products earlier this year, Cameroon has stepped up its fight against illegal fishing with revised legislation and heightened surveillance. The ban has spurred widespread action to protect the marine ecosystems and coastal livelihoods that are impacted by illegal fishing activities. Fair Planet

New Zealand is expanding its area of protected ocean by more than two-thirds with six new marine reserves planned for next year. The new reserves will protect habitats for species such as the yellow-eyed penguin, the Northern royal albatross, the New Zealand sea lion, sponges, sea squirts, and reef fishes. RNZ

This ensures we can uphold our cultural traditions and retain an intergenerational connection with our moana, without alienating our whānau from their ancestral fisheries, like what has happened when other marine reserves have been established.
Te Rūnanga o Ngāi Tahu Deputy Kaiwhakahaere Matapura Ellison
Conservation Minister WillowJean Prime (left) and Oceans and Fisheries Minister Rachel Brooking announce the first marine reserves along the southeastern South Island Coast, 5th October 2023

A historic victory for animal rights in Wales, with a total ban on snares and glue traps. The ban is the first of its kind in the UK and will end the suffering of non-target animals who often get caught, including wildlife, pets, and farm animals such as sheep and lambs.

A win for wildlife across California, with a new law banning diphacinone, a first-generation rat poison developed before 1970. Mountain lions, coyotes, and other animals have become unintended victims after eating smaller animals that have consumed the rat poison. The law expands on a 2020 bill that banned second-generation rodenticides (developed after 1970). West Observer

Malaysia is cracking down on wildlife poaching and trafficking. The recent arrest of Teo Boon Ching, a notorious trafficker, is expected to make a dent in the illegal global trade. The Wildlife Crime Bureau has been granted more power and this year has recorded 192 wildlife crime cases, arrested 175 people, destroyed 181 wildlife traps, and identified 485 signs of encroachment. NST

Idaho has established its first Backcountry Conservation Area to 'support wildlife-dependent recreation and hunting activities.' Bennett Hills will protect more than 120,000 acres of grasslands that are home to upland game bird species, elk, and mule deer. Boise State Public Radio

The EU is fighting microplastics pollution with a ban on products that have microplastics added to them, including cosmetics, detergents, glitter, fertilisers, toys, and artificial sports surfaces. An estimated 42,000 tons of microplastics are added to products sold in the EU every year. 'This is an opportunity for the European industry to be at the forefront of the development towards more sustainability and innovation.' DW

Between 2018 and 2022, Indonesia reduced its marine plastic waste from 615,675 tonnes to 408,885. This means the country’s position among the world’s largest contributors of plastic waste has fallen from second to fifth, a trend that looks set to continue as it aims for a further 70% reduction of marine debris by 2024. Antara News


A few more home runs


Ecuador has a new wildlife reserve protecting 61,673 acres of high Andean ecosystems. In Romania, a proposed 101,000-hectare park looks set to become a Yellowstone for Europe. The first-ever release of 19 wildcats in the Scottish Highlands over the summer has been a success. Local restoration efforts are underway in Spain to clean up Europe’s largest saltwater lagoon. A new wildlife corridor in Malaysia will connect the Tabin Wildlife Reserve and Silabukan Forest Reserve to protect a crucial habitat of 1,200 orangutans. Abandoned oil rigs off the coast of California have found new life as vibrant ecosystems. Oklahoma has restored nearly 100 unhealthy streams thanks to regenerative agriculture. Cranberry growers in Massachusetts are restoring former bogs into thriving wetlands. Australia is boosting its protection of three endangered and three critically-endangered sea turtle species in the Great Barrier Reef. Stormwater ponds in Sweden that 'celebrate the joy of being part of nature.'

Credit: Dezeen

Saving the world is cheaper than ruining it


The transition to clean energy is happening worldwide and it’s unstoppable. It’s not a question of if, it’s just a matter of how soon — and the sooner the better for all of us.

Faith Birol, the head of the IEA, launching the 2023 World Energy Outlook, the 'bible' of the energy transition. There are a lot of wonderful graphs, but this one is our favourite. It shows projected emissions under the STEPS scenario, which is based on the world's current energy, climate and industrial policies. Climate action is working people.

Solar PV is projected to reduce emissions by around 3 Gt in 2030, roughly equivalent to the emissions from all the cars on the road worldwide today. Wind power is projected to reduce emissions by around a further 2 Gt in 2030, and EVs by around 1 Gt more. This is not enough to get on track for net zero emissions by 2050; or to keep under the 1.5 °C limit. But it is keeping the pathway open.

In 2022, the global media was full of warnings about Europe's 'return to coal.' They've been a lot quieter about the fact that coal generation in Europe this year has plummeted to its lowest level since at least 2000. The same pattern is now playing out on an even grander scale in China, with evidence building that the coal boom there is going to be an even bigger blip. WaPo

China's solar explosion is still the most underreported story in climate news. The country has added (this is not a typo) 129 GW of new solar capacity in the first nine months of this year. That's more than the entire installed solar capacity of the United States. And there are still three months to go. NEA

This puts it into perspective. In the United States, QCells just completed a 5 GW solar module factory in Georgia, the largest facility of its kind in the Western Hemisphere. In China, Sunrev just announced a new factory in Qinghai with 40 GW of wafer capacity and 20 GW of cell and module capacity, and that's not even close to the biggest solar factory in China.

Repeat after us:

A clean energy economy will use 40% less energy than a fossil fuel economy.
A clean energy economy will use 40% less energy than a fossil fuel economy.
A clean energy economy will use 40% less energy than a fossil fuel economy.
A clean energy economy will use 40% less energy than a fossil fuel economy.

Electrification is efficiency. From the indispensable Hannah Ritchie

One hundred and seven countries are already more than five years past peak fossil fuels for electricity. Europe, Oceania, and North America are already well into their period of fossil power decline, with generation this century dropping by 30%, 20%, and 15%, respectively. The only regions yet to reach a peak are Asia and the Middle East. Ember

Africa has 86 wind farms totalling 9 GW, but that's about to get a lot bigger, with 140 projects representing 86 GW currently under development, according to a new report published by the Global Wind Energy Council. 'Africa is getting on with the energy transition, and policymakers need to help clear the pathway.'

Czechia has updated its climate goals and will now phase out coal by 2033 and oil and gas by 2050. The share of renewables will be increased to 40% by 2030 and to 60% by 2034. 'We will also stop exporting brown coal electricity, the production of which will no longer be profitable due to the price of emission permits.' Euractiv

Germany’s wind sector has experienced unprecedented growth this year. By the end of September, over 50% more wind power had gone into operation than in the comparable period in 2022, and more than 2,400 approved wind turbines representing 12.4 GW are now in the pipeline. ReNews

Last Friday, 70.5% of the electricity produced in Spain was renewable, the largest share ever recorded. Wind broke its own daily generation record, accounting for 53.8% of the total power mix. Sopla bebe, sopla. REE

Wondering how to stop your job being stolen by Chat GPT? How about becoming a wind technician? The Global Wind Energy Council estimates that nearly 600,000 technicians worldwide will be needed to construct, install, operate, and maintain wind farms by 2027, and more than 240,000 of those roles will be new recruits to the industry. ReNews

In August, global sales of plug-in electric cars exceeded 1.2 million units, 45% more than a year ago. That's now about 18% of the total market—compared to 9% of the market in 2021. The top four brands by sales are BYD, Tesla, VW, and Volvo. Inside EVs

Norway's demand for road transportation fuel is cratering, falling by 9% in September 2023 compared to September 2022. The reason? Electric vehicles now represent about 90% of new auto sales. Volkswagen, which has sold more than 1.1 million petrol and diesel vehicles in Norway, says that its last dinosaur juice car will be sold there this December.

Across the United States, spending on the construction of manufacturing facilities reached $198 billion on an annualised basis in August, an almost 66% increase from the previous year, and the highest level since the Bureau of Economic Analysis began tracking the data in the 1950s. #MAGA anyone? Bloomberg

A lot of subscribers have asked us why we're so sceptical about hydrogen. The answer has a lot to do with Michael Liebreich and his legendary hydrogen ladder, which shows how likely it is that proposed use cases end up being a significant driver of demand a decade from now (once the hype dies down and subsidies dry up). Here's the most recent version.

More reasons to stop doom-scrolling


Solar and wind are changing the US economy so quickly that economists can't devise methods to capture their impact fast enough. The Canadian provinces of Nova Scotia and New Brunswick are phasing out coal by 2030. Poland has begun retraining coal miners to work in wind farms. The US Bureau of Ocean Energy Management has identified an area big enough for 40 GW of offshore wind in the Gulf of Maine. The tiny island state of Singapore is spending $73 billion to survive climate change—that's $100 million per square kilometre. Mitsubishi says it has reduced the cost of recycling glass and metals from solar panels by 20% to 30%. The Rivian R1T has become the first electric ute to win the Rebelle Rally, the longest off-road map-and-compass rally in the United States.

Australian for pickup truck.

Indistinguishable from magic


NASA scientists on the OSIRIS-REx samples: 'We picked the right asteroid, and not only that, we brought back the right sample. This is an astrobiologist’s dream. Just can’t wait to get at it. This material will be around for generations. We’re going to learn so much about the origins of the Solar System, its evolution, and potentially how life got started on Earth.' Inverse

A futuristic initiative at Microsoft named Project Silica has successfully invented a technique to store huge amounts of data on glass plates using three-dimensional pixels called voxels. Unlike standard data storage methods, which can deteriorate after a few years, this technique could store information for thousands of years without degradation. PC World

AI isn't just good for writing your proposals. Surgeons are using it to identify brain tumours during operations, it's making traffic lights more efficient and less annoying, mathematicians are using it to build the perfect periodic table of shapes, first responders are using it to locate people lost in remote areas, and archaeologists have used it to reads text from ancient scrolls buried in the Pompeii eruption.

For fans of the Wood Wide Web: for the first time, researchers from Japan say they've been able to visualize plant-to-plant communication. The idea of 'talking trees' started to take root in the 1980s—in this experiment, the researchers showed that when caterpillars eat plants, the plants release green volatiles which infiltrate a healthy neighbouring plant’s tissues and activate defences from within its cells.

After a caterpillar devours a leaf, an Arabidopsis plant triggers calcium signalling, as a long-distance wound signal propagates throughout the plant body and activates systemic defence responses, shown increasing here in green fluorescence. Masatsugu Toyota/Saitama University
Calcium ions fluoresce in a healthy Arabidopsis plant, as the plant uptakes chemical compounds typically released from a wounded plant. The calcium signalling triggers defence mechanisms in the healthy plant to protect against nearby dangers. Masatsugu Toyota/Saitama University

Is it just us, or does anyone else think it's astonishing that tens of thousands of people in San Francisco now have access to Waymo's fully self-driving vehicles across 47 square miles of the city? The company also operates in Phoenix and Austin and is piloting a robotaxi business in Los Angeles. We thought the whole self-driving-vehicles thing was supposed to be dead? The Verge

Researchers at Stanford have identified the cellular drivers of aging and disease in the human eye. They mapped the origins of 5,953 proteins in the eye, showing which genes are expressed in different cell types, and discovered connections between retinal degeneration and changes in diabetic retinopathy. The approach 'has the potential to transform molecular diagnostics and prognostics.' Cell

For most of the 20th century, neuroscientists thought that only neurons propagate signals in the brain. All the other brain cells, called glia, were thought to serve purely supportive roles. Since the 1990s, however, there have been clues that more is going on, and now researchers have the best evidence yet that certain types of cells called astrocytes are part of the electrical conversation too. Quanta

What you're looking at in the video below is a surgical robot, controlled by a human surgeon, delicately removing the outer shell of a raw quail egg while preserving the integrity of the egg's contents. The egg is then punctured and skilfully sealed up. Technology isn't something that exists outside of us. It is us.


We're skipping our information highway section because we've blown out on length. Thanks as always for reading, we'll see you next week.

With love,

Gus and Amy


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